Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-09-25 01:31Core Viewpoint - The carbon fiber industry is currently in a recovery phase after reaching a cyclical bottom, with supply-demand dynamics gradually improving and prices stabilizing after significant adjustments [1][2] Group 1: Industry Characteristics - In 2024, China's carbon fiber industry will exhibit three main characteristics: a slowdown in capacity growth, significant regional differentiation, and product structure upgrades [1] - New carbon fiber capacity in China is expected to reach 15,300 tons in 2024, bringing total capacity to 135,500 tons, a year-on-year increase of 12.73% [1] - The production volume for carbon fiber in 2024 is projected to be 59,000 tons, reflecting an 8.16% year-on-year increase, with T300 grade fibers accounting for 63.58% and T700+ grade fibers for 36.42% [1] Group 2: Market Outlook - By 2025, the carbon fiber market is expected to show price stabilization and recovery in certain sectors, with the industry operating at a 61.52% utilization rate as of August 2025, a year-on-year increase of 14.92 percentage points [2] - The prices for mainstream carbon fiber models in East China have remained stable since the beginning of 2025, providing a stable external environment for improving profitability in the industry [2] - The second half of 2025 is anticipated to see a "structural differentiation" in prices, with high-performance T700/T800 prices expected to rise, while industrial-grade T300 may experience pressure [2]