Core Viewpoint - Citigroup's research report indicates that Nine Dragons Paper Holdings' net profit for the fiscal year ending June 2025 surged 135% year-on-year to 1.767 billion HKD, aligning with earlier guidance of 1.7 billion to 1.9 billion HKD [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The bank raised its earnings forecasts for the fiscal years 2026 to 2027 by 12% to 16% due to better-than-expected performance [1] - The conservative estimate for the fiscal year ending June 2026 is a 43% year-on-year increase in profit to 2.529 billion HKD [1] - The target price has been adjusted from 6.2 HKD to 8 HKD, maintaining a "buy" rating [1] Group 2: Capacity Expansion - The group plans to add 2.5 million tons of cultural and packaging paper capacity and 1.35 million tons of pulp capacity in the fiscal year 2026 [1] - Initial contributions from the increased capacity may be limited and could be offset by lower average pulp prices [1] Group 3: Profitability and Sales Forecast - As long as monthly profits remain above 200 million HKD, there is potential for further upward adjustments in the profit forecast for fiscal year 2026 [1] - Sales volume for fiscal year 2026 is expected to grow approximately 9% to 23.5 million tons, with a projected net profit per ton of 108 HKD, down from 129 HKD in fiscal year 2025 [1]
大行评级｜花旗：上调玖龙纸业目标价至8港元 重申“买入”评级