高盛：预计新兴市场股票和货币年底前将上涨，继续超配中国股市

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs projects that emerging market stocks and currencies will rise by the end of this year, driven by favorable macroeconomic conditions, positioning trends, and seasonal factors [1] Group 1: Macroeconomic Environment - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, a weaker dollar, and sustained capital inflows have created a favorable macro environment [1] - The fourth quarter typically exhibits seasonal positive effects, contributing to the expected rise in emerging markets [1] Group 2: Market Projections - Goldman Sachs raised the 12-month target for the MSCI Emerging Markets Index from 1370 points to 1480 points, indicating approximately a 10% upside potential [1] Group 3: Regional Focus - The firm continues to overweight the Chinese and South Korean markets, driven by artificial intelligence, technology, and policy reforms [1] Group 4: Currency Trends - Emerging market currencies have strengthened over the past month, and this trend is expected to continue, supported by arbitrage trading, cyclical dynamics of the dollar, and the strong performance of emerging market stocks [1]