高盛重申:超配中国

Group 1 - Goldman Sachs maintains an overweight view on China, believing that the A-share market is not overheated yet [1][2] - The firm expects the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates in late 2025 and early 2026, which could create a favorable environment for global equity markets, particularly in Asia [2][3] - There is a notable increase in institutional investor participation in the Chinese stock market, including domestic insurance companies and quantitative funds, contributing to healthier market liquidity [4][5] Group 2 - The current financing balance of A-shares is approximately 2.4 trillion RMB, which, despite exceeding the peak in 2015, is relatively low compared to the market capitalization that has doubled over the past decade [5] - Goldman Sachs continues to favor the internet sector and has upgraded the insurance and materials sectors to overweight, indicating a positive outlook for these industries [5] - International investors' attitudes towards China are improving, with more investors willing to reconsider allocations to Chinese assets, reflecting a thawing of previous skepticism [6][7]