君諾金融：美元走强与油价停滞，会如何影响欧洲与新兴市场资产？

Group 1: Currency and Bond Market - The US dollar strengthened against all major currencies, with the euro/dollar dropping from 1.18+ to 1.1738, erasing gains from the previous two days [1] - US Treasury yields rose across the board, with an increase of 1.8 to 4.9 basis points, while the mid-term performance was the weakest [3] - The Chicago Fed's Goolsbee questioned the Fed's plan for future rate cuts, suggesting that the labor market is not weak and that the economy is not facing recession risks [3] Group 2: Economic Data and Market Reactions - Multiple Fed officials are expected to speak today, which may lead to market volatility, with attention on weekly jobless claims and durable goods orders [4] - A strong performance in Japan's long-term bond auction eased market concerns about demand, leading to a slight decline in Japanese yields [4] - Oil prices remained stable around $69 per barrel, influenced by escalating risks from the Russia-Ukraine conflict [4] Group 3: Czech Economic Policy - The Czech National Bank maintained its policy rate at 3.5% to keep inflation near the 2% target, with inflation risks stemming from food prices and rapid wage growth [5] - The Czech koruna faced pressure as the central bank's future actions could include either rate cuts or hikes, according to the bank's governor [5] Group 4: Automotive Market Trends - EU new car registrations increased by 5.3% year-on-year, but year-to-date figures show a slight decline of 0.1% compared to last year [6] - Hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs) became the preferred choice for consumers, with their market share rising from 29.7% to 34.7% [6] - The market share of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) increased to 15.8%, up from 12.6%, with Germany, Belgium, the Netherlands, and France accounting for 62% of BEV registrations [6]