经合组织预测2025年世界经济增长3.2%

Core Insights - The OECD's report projects a global economic growth of 3.2% for this year, an increase of 0.3 percentage points from the June report, but slightly lower than the 3.3% expected for 2024 [1] - The report anticipates a growth rate of 2.9% for 2026, indicating a gradual slowdown [1] Economic Growth Projections - The first half of 2025 is expected to show stronger-than-anticipated global economic growth, particularly in many emerging markets [1] - The U.S. economic growth rate is projected to be 1.8% for 2025, a decline of one percentage point from the previous year, with a further decrease to 1.5% in 2026 [1] Trade and Tariff Impacts - The full impact of U.S. tariffs on trade partners has yet to be realized, with tariffs on nearly all imported products raised since May, reaching an actual tax rate of 19.5% by the end of August, the highest level since the mid-1930s [1] Eurozone Economic Outlook - The Eurozone is expected to experience a slight but steady slowdown in economic growth, from 1.2% in 2025 to 1.1% in 2026, influenced by trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainties [1] - However, increased public investment and more favorable credit conditions are expected to mitigate some of the negative impacts [1]