Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-25 08:13Core Viewpoint - The U.S. tech stock market experienced a significant surge from April to July, with companies like Nvidia, Microsoft, Google, and Broadcom reaching new market capitalization highs, but has recently shown signs of fatigue, leading to investor concerns about a potential pause in market momentum [2] Group 1: Market Performance - Nvidia's market capitalization reached $4.3 trillion, surpassing Japan's projected GDP for 2024 [2] - Following the surge, many tech stocks have been consolidating at high levels, prompting worries among investors [2] - Wall Street strategists suggest that the market is in a "pause period," seeking new catalysts for growth [2] Group 2: Corporate Collaborations - Intel is reportedly in discussions with Apple for potential investment and collaboration, although negotiations are still in early stages [3][4] - Nvidia and OpenAI announced a strategic partnership to deploy at least 10GW of Nvidia systems for AI model training, with Nvidia committing up to $100 billion for this initiative [5] - Nvidia also announced a $5 billion investment in Intel, focusing on joint development in AI infrastructure and personal computing products [6] Group 3: Financial Results and Projections - Oracle reported a significant increase in unfulfilled performance obligations, reaching $455 billion, a 229.71% increase from the previous quarter [7] - Oracle's cloud infrastructure revenue is projected to grow to $18 billion in fiscal 2026, a nearly 77% year-over-year increase [7] - Oracle's founder noted a remarkable 1529% growth in multi-cloud database revenue from major partners like Amazon, Google, and Microsoft [8] Group 4: Market Sentiment and Valuation - The current U.S. stock market is in a delicate phase, with differing opinions among institutions regarding valuation levels [11] - Fed Chair Powell indicated that stock prices appear overvalued based on various metrics, but he does not see immediate financial stability risks [11] - Bank of America strategists highlighted that 19 out of 20 indicators suggest the S&P 500 is trading at expensive levels, with a forward P/E ratio of 22.9 [11] Group 5: Economic Outlook - Deutsche Bank emphasized that tech spending, particularly in AI, is crucial for understanding the resilience of the U.S. economy [12] - Nomura warned of significant downside risks in the market despite the solid foundation of the AI-driven bull market, citing excessive bullish sentiment among investors [12] - The potential for rapid market corrections exists if catalysts trigger deleveraging, making it risky to abandon hedging strategies [12] Conclusion - The substantial collaborations among tech giants are stabilizing the U.S. stock market, but the risk of short-term declines remains after a period of rapid growth, with the ability of AI investments to translate into tangible performance being critical [13]