Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC raises the target price for Shoucheng Holdings (00697) by 21% to HKD 3.3 per share, indicating a 30% upside potential from the current stock price, corresponding to a 2.8 times P/B for 2025, while maintaining an outperform rating for the industry [1]. Group 1: Share Structure Optimization - The transaction involving Chow Tai Fook's issuance of HKD 22.18 billion 0.75% exchangeable bonds, which will exchange for approximately 10% of Shoucheng Holdings' issued share capital, is seen as a significant opportunity for optimizing the shareholding structure of Shoucheng Holdings [2]. - Prior to 2025, Shoucheng Holdings had a high proportion of industrial investors compared to financial market institutional investors, which suppressed stock liquidity and the entry of new institutional investors. The company has taken multiple steps to improve liquidity, including issuing USD 1.8 billion convertible bonds to overseas investors and a recent HKD 600 million placement [3]. - Following the completion of the transaction, the effective float ratio of the company is expected to increase from around 10% to approximately 30%, significantly improving liquidity [3]. Group 2: Future Outlook - In the next 3-6 months, the company is expected to have further upside potential, with around 57% of the convertible bonds issued in the second quarter already converted, totaling approximately 500 million shares [4]. - The share exchange by Chow Tai Fook implies a price of HKD 2.65 per share, which is not expected to exert short-term pressure on the stock price [4]. - The company's profitability is anticipated to continue improving alongside the development of the robotics industry [4].
中金：上调首程控股目标价至3.3港元 维持跑赢行业评级