金晟富：9.26黄金多空拉扯来回震荡！周线收官黄金何去何从

Core Viewpoint - The gold market is currently at a critical juncture, influenced by strong economic data and geopolitical tensions, with upcoming inflation data expected to determine the future price direction of gold [2][3]. Group 1: Market Analysis - As of September 26, gold is trading around $3748.13 per ounce, having experienced fluctuations due to economic data releases and market sentiment [1]. - The recent high for gold was $3761.46 per ounce, while it dipped to $3722 per ounce before recovering due to buying interest [1]. - The market is closely watching the upcoming U.S. core PCE price index, which is expected to rise by 0.3% month-over-month and 2.7% year-over-year, as it will significantly influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy [2]. Group 2: Technical Analysis - Gold is currently in a high-level consolidation phase, with prices fluctuating between $3720 and $3760, indicating a potential for further upward movement if resistance at $3762 is broken [5]. - The recent price action shows a downward trend in daily highs, suggesting a cautious outlook unless gold can break above previous resistance levels [5]. - Key support is identified at $3717, and if this level is breached, further declines towards $3700 may occur [5]. Group 3: Trading Strategies - Suggested trading strategies include short positions around $3753-$3755 with a target of $3735-$3715, and long positions around $3705-$3710 with a target of $3725-$3740 [6]. - Emphasis is placed on strict risk management, including setting stop-loss orders to mitigate potential losses [6].