国金证券：3D打印消费级需求方兴未艾 重点关注高性价比PLA耗材

Core Viewpoint - The consumer-grade 3D printing market is experiencing rapid growth, driven by "price reduction + AI empowerment" [1][2] Market Size - The global consumer-grade 3D printing market size is projected to grow from $1.5 billion in 2020 to $4.1 billion by 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 28% [1] - From 2025 to 2029, the market size is expected to increase from $4.9 billion to $16.9 billion, with a CAGR of about 33% [1] - The annual shipment of consumer-grade printers is expected to remain around 3 million units from 2020 to 2023, surpassing 4 million units in 2024, with a CAGR of approximately 10.2% [1] - By 2029, shipments are projected to reach 13.4 million units, with a CAGR of about 26.6% from 2024 to 2029 [1] Competitive Landscape - Four Shenzhen companies, including Creality and Tiertime, hold a combined 90% market share in the entry-level 3D printer segment [2] - The entry-level 3D printer market (priced ≤ $2,500) is the only segment expected to see growth in 2024, with a shipment increase of 26% [2] Catalysts - The price of consumer-grade 3D printers has decreased by 60% compared to three years ago, with mainstream brands focusing on products priced between $200 to $300 [2] - Some entry-level products are priced below $1000, making them comparable to mid-range smartphones, facilitating the rapid adoption of consumer-grade 3D printers [2] - AI tools, exemplified by Hitem3D, have significantly lowered the creative barrier, providing software conditions for the popularization of consumer-grade 3D printing [2] Material Demand - PLA is the most common material in 3D printing, made from corn starch or sugarcane, known for its eco-friendliness and non-toxicity [3] - The domestic demand for PLA is expected to reach 120,000 tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 48.1%, with 3D printing accounting for approximately 35% of this demand [3] - PLA's cost-effectiveness and high frequency of repurchase make it well-positioned to benefit from the growth in consumer-grade 3D printing demand [3]