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三季度北京甲级写字楼空置率下降,科创发力,中关村租金或率先止跌企稳

Core Insights - The demand for Grade A office space in Beijing has significantly increased in Q3, with a net absorption of 125,000 square meters, marking a new high for the year [3][6] - The vacancy rate for Grade A office space in Beijing has decreased to 19.3%, a nearly 1 percentage point drop from the previous quarter, indicating a short-term alleviation of vacancy pressure [3][4] - Despite improvements, the overall market remains under pressure, with a strategy of "trading price for volume" being the primary method for market de-leveraging [4][6] Market Dynamics - The demand for office space is closely linked to the development of industries, particularly influenced by the needs of technology innovation enterprises [2][5] - The market is experiencing structural recovery and regional differentiation, with demand concentrated in specific sub-markets, particularly in Zhongguancun [4][6] - The average effective rent has decreased by 3.5% to 227.3 yuan per square meter per month, indicating ongoing downward pressure on rental prices [6] Zhongguancun Sub-Market - Zhongguancun has shown significant improvement, with a net absorption of over 63,000 square meters in Q3, marking the second consecutive quarter of net absorption exceeding 60,000 square meters [6][8] - The vacancy rate in Zhongguancun has dropped to 15.1%, with a 3.9 percentage point decrease from the previous quarter and a 5.9 percentage point decrease compared to two years ago [6][7] - There are indications that Zhongguancun may be the first sub-market in Beijing to stabilize and potentially increase rental prices due to sustained demand from technology innovation [8]