Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-09-26 03:25Core Viewpoint - China Shipbuilding Defense (中船防务) has seen a stock price increase of over 5%, currently trading at 15.58 HKD, with a trading volume of 85.91 million HKD. The company is rated "Buy" by Shenwan Hongyuan, benefiting from the global shipbuilding cycle and its own capacity release [1]. Company Summary - The projected net profit for China Shipbuilding Defense for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 is expected to be 1.1 billion, 1.7 billion, and 2.8 billion CNY respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 18, 11, and 7 [1]. - The current market capitalization to order backlog ratio is 0.42, significantly lower than the 10-year average of 0.53, indicating that the company is at a historical low valuation [1]. - The company is expected to benefit from accelerated delivery of high-value orders, strong demand for replacing old ships, and anticipated resolution of competition within the industry, providing ample room for performance elasticity and valuation recovery [1]. Industry Summary - Galaxy Securities highlights the potential in military trade and new quality fields, with positive expectations for equipment procurement during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, suggesting that order traction may begin in Q4 2025 [1]. - The focus on the 100th anniversary of the military in 2027 is expected to drive demand for new main battle equipment and new quality combat capabilities, sustaining high industry prosperity [1].