美国撑不住了，宣布降息救命，特朗普松了一口气，却依然“反对”

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. economy is facing significant challenges, including weak employment, high debt, and economic uncertainty, leading to a complex situation that requires careful management [1][3]. Group 1: Federal Reserve Actions - On September 17, the Federal Reserve decided to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, lowering the federal funds rate target range to 4.00%-4.25%, marking the first rate cut since December 2024 [3]. - The rate cut aims to stimulate economic activity, reduce unemployment risks, and alleviate debt pressure, but it also carries risks such as potential inflation, weakened dollar value, and asset bubbles [6][20]. Group 2: Economic Symptoms - The U.S. economy is currently experiencing three intertwined symptoms: high inflation, weak employment, and a debt crisis, making it difficult to find effective treatment [3][4]. - Maintaining high interest rates could help alleviate inflation but would negatively impact economic growth and increase the burden of debt servicing [4]. Group 3: Diverging Opinions - There is a division within the Federal Reserve regarding the severity of the economic situation, exemplified by the dissenting vote from new Fed Governor Stephen Milan, who advocated for a more aggressive 50 basis point cut [12][15]. - Milan's opposition reflects differing assessments of the economic condition, with some believing that the current measures are insufficient to address the urgent needs of the economy [16]. Group 4: Long-term Outlook - The Federal Reserve's economic forecast predicts a GDP growth rate of 1.6% for 2025, slightly higher than previous estimates, but indicates a long-term growth rate of only 1.8%, suggesting a prolonged recovery period for the U.S. economy [22]. - The unique combination of high inflation and high debt presents unprecedented challenges, making historical comparisons less relevant for current conditions [23].