数据支撑美元转强、金价震荡调整仍待再走强

Core Viewpoint - International gold prices experienced fluctuations and closed higher, maintaining above the 5-day moving average, indicating a bullish outlook despite weakening bullish signals from indicators [1][3]. Price Movement - Gold opened at $3735.78 per ounce, reached a daily high of $3761.31, and a low of $3722.16, ultimately closing at $3749.12, with a daily range of $39.15 and a gain of $13.34, or 0.36% [3]. Influencing Factors - The decline in initial jobless claims and a significant upward revision of the U.S. Q2 GDP contributed to a strong rebound in the U.S. dollar index, which pressured gold prices initially. However, buying support from bargain hunters and safe-haven demand led to a recovery in gold prices [3]. Market Outlook - On September 26, gold prices showed weakness in early trading, with expectations of continued volatility. The bullish outlook is temporarily hindered by resistance levels and the recent strength of the dollar index, suggesting that gold may remain in a range until it breaks above $3780 or tests the support of the 10-day and 30-day moving averages [3]. Upcoming Data - Key data to watch includes the U.S. August core PCE price index and the final value of the September University of Michigan consumer sentiment index. Market expectations remain unchanged, but recent positive data trends suggest a likelihood of better-than-previous values, which could negatively impact gold prices [3].