特朗普上台不到1年，新加坡总理预感不妙，告诫美国别碰中方红线

Core Viewpoint - Singapore's Prime Minister, Heng Swee Keat, warns the U.S. against crossing China's "red lines," particularly regarding Taiwan, reflecting Singapore's strategic balancing act in the context of U.S.-China relations [3][10]. Economic Context - Singapore's Ministry of Trade and Industry raised its GDP growth forecast for 2025 to between 1.5% and 2.5%, with a notable 4.4% year-on-year economic growth in the second quarter, highlighting its dependence on global markets [3][5]. - Despite facing a trade deficit with the U.S., Singapore was subjected to a 10% tariff under the "reciprocal tariff" policy introduced by the Trump administration, which was met with disappointment by Singaporean officials [5][6]. Diplomatic Strategy - Singapore's approach is characterized by a strategy of "economic reliance on China and security balance," which is pragmatic given its geopolitical context [6][12]. - The country has been actively pursuing diversified diplomatic relations, as evidenced by Prime Minister Heng's visit to China in June to celebrate the 35th anniversary of diplomatic ties and sign multiple cooperation agreements [5][6]. Regional Dynamics - The ASEAN region is witnessing a shift towards "strategic autonomy," with countries like Indonesia and Malaysia participating in significant events such as China's 80th anniversary of the Anti-Japanese War, signaling a collective stance on regional issues [8][10]. - There is a strong consensus among ASEAN nations to uphold the "One China" policy, with 90% unwilling to sacrifice economic interests with China over Taiwan-related tensions [8][10]. Geopolitical Implications - Heng's characterization of the Taiwan issue as a "red line within a red line" serves as a warning to the U.S. against reckless actions that could escalate tensions in Asia [8][12]. - The involvement of external powers is seen as a destabilizing factor in the region, prompting calls for collective responsibility among nations to navigate the complexities introduced by U.S. geopolitical interests [10][12].