日本央行：任期结束前或至少加息四次至1.5%

Core Viewpoint - Former Bank of Japan board member Makoto Sakurai predicts that the central bank may raise interest rates at least four more times before the current governor Kazuo Ueda's term ends in 2028, potentially bringing the benchmark rate to 1.5% [1] Group 1: Interest Rate Predictions - Sakurai expects another interest rate hike by the end of this year, with two additional hikes in the fiscal year 2026 and one to two more hikes by the end of the fiscal year in March 2028 [1] - The next rate hike is anticipated to occur either in October or December, influenced by the upcoming quarterly "Tankan" business survey [1] Group 2: Economic Conditions - Japan's economic conditions are described as favorable, with large companies benefiting from price increases and a weak yen boosting exports [1] - The Bank of Japan's decision to maintain the current interest rate was influenced by the need for more time to assess the impact of U.S. tariffs [1] Group 3: Market Signals - The dissenting votes from two board members during the September decision to keep rates unchanged may signal an increased likelihood of a rate hike in October [1] - The joint statement from the U.S. and Japan in September reaffirmed their commitment to "market-determined" exchange rates, indicating a warning against market intervention by Tokyo [1]