【IPO前哨】风口上的光热发电：可胜技术百倍增长背后的喜与忧

Core Viewpoint - Kesheng Technology is preparing for an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, following unsuccessful attempts to list on the A-share market, highlighting a trend of companies shifting to Hong Kong for capital raising opportunities [2][19]. Company Overview - Kesheng Technology specializes in tower solar thermal power generation and molten salt energy storage solutions, providing comprehensive services from project development to operational support [3][5]. - The company has established itself as a leader in the solar thermal power sector, with a market share of 47.2% in the supply of solar collection systems in China from 2021 to 2024, significantly ahead of its closest competitor [5]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue skyrocketed from 20.85 million RMB in 2022 to 2.189 billion RMB in 2024, marking a 104-fold increase [11]. - Kesheng Technology turned a profit in 2023 with a net income of 248.3 million RMB, which is expected to grow to 540.1 million RMB in 2024 [11]. - The company has shown strong revenue growth in the first half of 2025, although the growth rate is slowing [11]. Market Dynamics - The solar thermal power industry is experiencing rapid growth, with the levelized cost of electricity expected to decrease from 1.15 RMB/kWh in 2016 to 0.55 RMB/kWh in 2024, and further to 0.38 RMB/kWh by 2035 [7]. - The cumulative installed capacity of solar thermal power in China is projected to reach 17.7 GW by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 52.6% from 2025 to 2030 [9]. Customer Concentration - Kesheng Technology's revenue is highly concentrated, with 99.9% of its income in the first half of 2025 coming from state-owned enterprises [12][13]. - The company acknowledges the risks associated with customer concentration, as the loss of a major client could severely impact its financial stability [13]. Future Growth Drivers - Future growth for Kesheng Technology may depend on the pace of new project approvals, cost control capabilities, and the expansion into new business areas, particularly in molten salt energy storage [15][20]. - The company has implemented significant dividends prior to its IPO, distributing nearly 300 million RMB within a year, raising questions about the necessity of its upcoming capital raise [16][18].