Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-09-26 12:43Market Overview - US stock index futures are all up ahead of the market opening, with Dow futures rising by 0.22%, S&P 500 futures up by 0.15%, and Nasdaq futures increasing by 0.09% [1] - European indices also show positive movement, with Germany's DAX up by 0.67%, UK's FTSE 100 up by 0.53%, France's CAC 40 up by 0.74%, and the Euro Stoxx 50 up by 0.72% [1] Commodity Prices - WTI crude oil has decreased by 0.15%, trading at $64.88 per barrel, while Brent crude oil has fallen by 0.14%, priced at $69.66 per barrel [2] Economic Indicators - The PCE inflation report, a key indicator favored by the Federal Reserve, is set to be released, with expectations for an annual rate of 2.7% for August, up from 2.6% in July, and a monthly increase of 0.3%, compared to 0.2% the previous month [3] - Core PCE, excluding food and energy, is anticipated to remain at 2.9% year-over-year, with a slight monthly decrease to 0.2% from 0.3% [3] Trade Policies - President Trump announced significant tariffs on various imported goods effective October 1, including a 50% tariff on cabinets and bathroom vanities, a 30% tariff on imported furniture, a 25% tariff on heavy trucks, and a 100% tariff on patented and branded pharmaceuticals [4] - The imposition of these tariffs has already led to a 4.7% increase in furniture prices compared to August 2024 [4] Banking Sector - The US banking system's reserves have dropped below $3 trillion for the first time since January, with a decrease of approximately $21 billion reported, indicating ongoing liquidity issues [5] - This decline in reserves is linked to increased bond issuance by the Treasury to rebuild cash balances following the raising of the debt ceiling [5] Market Volatility - Goldman Sachs warns of heightened volatility in October, historically showing about 20% higher price fluctuations in the S&P 500 compared to other months, influenced by upcoming earnings reports and potential government shutdown risks [6] Company Performance - Costco's Q4 earnings exceeded expectations, with total revenue reaching $86.156 billion, an 8% year-over-year increase, and net profit of $2.610 billion, up from $2.354 billion the previous year [8] - Intel has seen a significant increase in investor interest, with a 37% rise in stock price since September 17, leading to a surge in call options as investors bet on continued upward momentum [9] Regulatory Developments - Google may face additional fines from the EU for violating tech regulations, following a recent $3.45 billion penalty related to online advertising practices [11] - The new potential fine is connected to allegations of preferential treatment for its own search services over competitors [11]