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美国8月PCE增速稳定,个人支出增长超出预期!
Jin Shi Shu Ju·2025-09-26 13:05

Group 1 - The core PCE inflation rate for August recorded at 2.9%, meeting expectations and unchanged from the previous value [1] - Overall PCE inflation rate for August recorded at 2.7%, also meeting expectations but higher than the previous value of 2.60% [1] - Personal spending in August exceeded expectations, reaching the highest level since March 2025, indicating resilience in consumer demand [1] Group 2 - Despite a significant slowdown in the labor market and stagnation in job growth, consumption continues to rise, primarily driven by high-income households benefiting from a strong stock market and elevated housing prices [4] - U.S. household wealth surged to a record $176.3 trillion in Q2, but low-income households face pressure due to rising commodity prices from import tariffs [4] - The risk of consumption growth is concentrated among high-income households, with potential vulnerabilities tied to stock market and housing price fluctuations [4] Group 3 - Richmond Fed President Barkin emphasized the focus on balancing inflation and unemployment, indicating limited risks of further deterioration in both metrics [5] - The Federal Reserve recently voted to lower the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points in response to growing concerns about labor market slowdown [5] - Discrepancies among Federal Reserve officials regarding future rate cuts exist, with some advocating for continued cuts to mitigate employment risks while others remain concerned about inflation potential [6]