Micron's DRAM Revenues Hit $28.6B: Can the Momentum Continue?

Core Insights - Micron Technology achieved record sales in its DRAM business for fiscal 2025, with revenues of $28.6 billion, marking a 62% year-over-year increase [1][9] - The fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 saw DRAM sales contribute $9 billion, accounting for approximately 80% of total sales [1] - Growth was driven by increased demand across various sectors, including data centers, PCs, phones, and automotive, alongside improved pricing due to limited DRAM supply [2] Revenue and Profitability - Micron's high-bandwidth memory (HBM) chips generated nearly $2 billion in sales during the fourth quarter, leading to an annualized run rate of about $8 billion [2] - Gross margins improved significantly to 41% in fiscal 2025, up from 24% the previous year [4] - For the first quarter of fiscal 2026, Micron anticipates revenues of approximately $12.5 billion, with gross margins expected to remain above 51% [4] Market Outlook - The company expects continued strong demand for memory products, particularly from AI servers, AI-ready smartphones, and AI PCs, while industry DRAM demand is projected to grow in the high-teens percentage in calendar 2025 [3] - Micron's bit supply growth is expected to lag behind industry demand, potentially leading to increased prices and margin expansion [3] Competitive Landscape - Micron competes with Western Digital and Seagate in the data storage market, with Western Digital focusing on both HDDs and NAND-based SSDs, while Seagate is expanding its presence in the SSD market [5][6] Stock Performance and Valuation - Micron's shares have increased by approximately 86.1% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Computer – Integrated Systems industry's growth of 41.4% [7] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 3.43, slightly below the industry average of 3.86 [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 earnings suggests a year-over-year increase of about 64.8%, with recent upward revisions in estimates [13]