专家分析近期全球黄金价格飙升原因及后续形势发展

Group 1 - The article discusses the recent surge in gold prices, which have reached a historical high of $3,790.82 per ounce, driven by various factors including geopolitical uncertainty, monetary policy changes, and increased demand from central banks [1][2] - Geopolitical uncertainty has led to a rise in safe-haven demand for gold, as investors seek to protect their wealth during times of political and economic turmoil [1] - Expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have made gold more attractive, as lower interest rates decrease the returns on fixed-income products, prompting investors to shift towards gold [1][2] Group 2 - Central banks around the world have been increasing their gold reserves, further driving up demand and prices, as countries aim to hedge against dollar fluctuations and inflation risks [1][2] - A weaker US dollar has also contributed to the rise in gold prices, as it lowers the cost of gold for buyers using other currencies, especially in light of recent data indicating a sluggish US economy [2] - Despite the current high prices, economists predict a potential short-term correction, but Deutsche Bank forecasts that gold prices could reach $4,000 per ounce by 2026 if macroeconomic conditions remain unchanged [2]