SZAP(SZ:000061) Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-27 03:42Group 1 - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce announced a trade investigation into Mexico's trade restrictions against Chinese imports, particularly targeting the automotive sector [1] - The investigation was triggered by Mexico's decision to raise tariffs on automotive imports from countries without free trade agreements from 20% to 50%, significantly impacting Chinese automotive exports, which amounted to $3.7 billion in 2022, accounting for 15% of Mexico's total automotive imports [1] - The scope of the investigation mirrors the sectors affected by Mexico's tariff increase, including automotive manufacturing, textiles, children's toys, and agricultural products, with a flexible investigation period of six months that can be extended [1] Group 2 - The investigation serves as a warning to Mexico, emphasizing that external pressures should not compromise third-party interests, implicitly pointing to the influence of the United States [2] - By initiating this investigation during a time when the Biden administration is strengthening economic ties with Mexico, China is sending a clear message that any attempts to create a trade encirclement against China will face strong retaliation [4] - Mexico exports approximately $280 million worth of agricultural products to China annually, with fresh products like avocados and berries having a high dependency rate of 40%, which could become leverage for China in future retaliatory measures [4] Group 3 - There remains a negotiation window of about 90 days before Mexico's tariff policy is officially implemented, indicating potential for resolution [7] - If Mexico proceeds with the tariff increase, it could lead to significant impacts on global supply chains, particularly affecting consumers in Mexico who rely heavily on Chinese manufacturing for automotive and electronic products [7] - The outcome of this trade dispute will test the political acumen of all parties involved [7]