乌克兰猛攻俄命门，8000万吨炼油能力被毁！能否改写战争结局？

Core Insights - Ukraine's military strategy has shifted significantly, focusing on targeting Russia's energy infrastructure, particularly oil refineries, starting from August 2025 [1] - Recent coordinated strikes on key energy facilities have resulted in a substantial reduction in Russia's refining capacity and a spike in fuel prices [1][4] - The introduction of Ukraine's domestically developed "Flamingo" missile poses a new threat to Russia's energy system, potentially exacerbating the ongoing crisis [2] Group 1: Military Strategy and Impact - Ukraine's military is now prioritizing attacks on Russian oil refineries, which are critical to the Russian military's fuel supply [1] - Recent attacks have led to the complete shutdown of 4 out of 9 major refineries in Russia and a 12% drop in national refining capacity [1] - Fuel shortages are becoming widespread across Russia, affecting both civilian and military operations [1] Group 2: Economic Consequences - Russia's oil and gas revenue decreased by 3% month-on-month in September and plummeted by 23% year-on-year [2] - The fuel crisis has led to a 50% increase in gasoline prices, with significant drops in sales of A-92 and A-95 gasoline [1][2] - The economic strain from the energy crisis is impacting Russia's ability to sustain its military efforts [4] Group 3: Future Outlook - The ongoing conflict may lead to a shift in the war dynamics due to fuel shortages and financial pressures on Russia [4] - Public sentiment in Ukraine shows a willingness to negotiate peace, but the government remains firm on territorial integrity [4] - The potential for negotiations will depend on the evolving battlefield situation and the impact of continued strikes on energy infrastructure [4]