BCHT(SH:688276) Hua Xia Shi Bao·2025-09-27 14:37Core Insights - Changchun Baike Biotechnology Co., Ltd. is facing significant challenges as it transitions from children's vaccines to adult vaccines, reflecting common issues in product iteration, market expansion, and R&D transformation within traditional vaccine companies [2][3] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 285 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 53.93%, and a net loss attributable to shareholders of 73.57 million yuan, marking a significant downturn following a brief growth period after the launch of the shingles vaccine in 2023 [2][3] - The revenue from the varicella vaccine decreased from 1.02 billion yuan in 2021 to 820 million yuan in 2023, with sales volume dropping from 8.11 million doses to 6.71 million doses, a decline of 17.3% over three years [3][5] Market Dynamics - The domestic birth rate has decreased from 18.83 million in 2016 to 9.02 million in 2023, leading to a shrinking market for children's vaccines [5] - The number of competitors in the varicella vaccine market has increased from three to five, with companies like Hualan Biological and Sinovac adopting low-price strategies, resulting in a 12% drop in the average bidding price for varicella vaccines from 2021 to 2024 [5][6] Product Performance - The varicella vaccine still contributes nearly 70% of the company's revenue, indicating a continued reliance on this product despite its declining performance [3] - The shingles vaccine, which initially showed promise with sales of 668,000 doses and revenue of 883 million yuan in its first year, saw a dramatic drop in 2024, with sales plummeting to 200,400 doses, a year-on-year decline of 69.8% [6][8] R&D Investment - The company has increased its R&D investment in the first half of 2025 to 98.2 million yuan, accounting for 34.47% of its revenue, a 14.81% increase from the previous year [8][9] - Baike has established five major platforms, with 16 projects in the pipeline, including 11 that are in clinical trial or registration stages [9][10] Marketing and Education Efforts - The company is focusing on innovative marketing strategies and public education to enhance awareness of diseases and stimulate demand for vaccines [2][10] - Efforts include academic promotion activities and community outreach to correct public misconceptions and improve the recognition of the shingles vaccine [10]