终于不嘴硬了？美媒开始承认：美国GDP落后中国成第二大经济体

Group 1 - The core viewpoint highlights the contrasting economic positions of the US and China, with nominal GDP showing the US ahead, while purchasing power parity (PPP) indicates China surpassing the US since 2014 [2][10][19] - In 2024, the US GDP is projected at $29.1 trillion, while China's is $18.94 trillion, showing a significant nominal gap of over $10 trillion [2][8] - By 2025, the IMF predicts China's PPP GDP share will reach 19.68%, compared to the US's 14.75%, widening the lead to 10.2 trillion international dollars [2][19] Group 2 - The exchange rate plays a crucial role in the perceived economic strength, with the average RMB to USD exchange rate around 7.1 in 2024, influenced by US Federal Reserve interest rate hikes [4][10] - China's trade surplus is expected to reach nearly $1 trillion in 2024, despite the nominal figures being affected by the exchange rate [4][8] - In 2024, China's manufacturing value added is projected at 4.66 trillion, accounting for nearly 30% of global output, while the US's manufacturing sector is significantly smaller at 11% [6][19] Group 3 - The US emphasizes nominal GDP figures, with a projected nominal GDP of $30.51 trillion in the first half of 2025, while China's is expected to be $19.23 trillion, maintaining a significant nominal gap [8][19] - The media has shifted its narrative, acknowledging China's manufacturing capacity is double that of the US, particularly in sectors like automotive and solar energy [12][14] - By 2025, China's trade surplus is projected to increase to $992 billion, with exports reaching $3.6 trillion, while the US faces a trade deficit of $1 trillion [16][19] Group 4 - China's economic strategy focuses on domestic consumption, contributing 55% to its growth, while infrastructure investments are projected at $2.5 trillion [21][23] - The US is facing challenges with its financial sector dominating its economy, leading to concerns about hollowing out in manufacturing [21][23] - The long-term outlook suggests that China's manufacturing sector will continue to grow, with predictions of a 15% increase in semiconductor R&D by 2025 [19][23]