降息救不了美国！居民不买房，企业不生产，美联储陷入死循环

Group 1 - The current U.S. economic situation is complex, and simply lowering interest rates will not resolve the underlying issues [1][19] - The Federal Reserve is now focusing more on employment data, but recent manipulations of employment statistics complicate the decision-making process [3][5] - Political pressures are influencing economic data, which undermines the Federal Reserve's independence and complicates interest rate policy [5][15] Group 2 - The traditional mechanism of lowering interest rates to stimulate borrowing and spending is currently ineffective, as both consumers and businesses are reluctant to take on debt [7][11] - The housing market is struggling, with new home sales at a record low and high inventory levels, leading to a lack of consumer confidence in real estate investments [9][11] - Small businesses are facing significant challenges, with many selling off core assets due to financial strain, indicating a lack of confidence in economic recovery [11][19] Group 3 - Inflation remains a persistent issue, driven by factors such as de-globalization and rising costs, making it difficult for the Federal Reserve to control [13][15] - The service sector, which constitutes 80% of the U.S. GDP, is particularly vulnerable to inflationary pressures, complicating efforts to stabilize the economy [13][15] - The potential for a controlled recession could help restore confidence in the U.S. dollar and government bonds, but political reluctance to accept such measures poses a risk [15][19] Group 4 - The U.S. economy is at a critical juncture, with the risk of falling into a liquidity trap and prolonged stagflation if current trends continue [17][19] - The reliance on monetary policy adjustments, such as interest rate cuts, is increasingly seen as inadequate to address deep-rooted economic challenges [17][19] - The interconnectedness of global economies means that U.S. economic instability could have far-reaching implications for the global market [19]