大米价格跌至2017年来低点，拉美生产商面临困境

Core Insights - Global rice prices are projected to fall to their lowest level in eight years by 2025 due to unprecedented supply surplus pressures, disrupting global food trade balance [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The record high rice harvests in Asia, the removal of export restrictions by India, and a significant increase in global inventories are key factors driving the price decline [1] - The USDA reports that global rice production for the 2025-2026 season is expected to reach a historic high of 541 million tons, with global stocks projected to hit 187 million tons [1] Group 2: Regional Impact - Latin American rice-exporting countries are facing challenges such as declining profitability due to falling prices, with Brazil's rice exports from January to August 2025 exceeding 1.6 million tons at an average price of $304 per ton, down from $397 per ton in 2024 [1] - Paraguay's rice exports from January to May 2025 increased by 18% year-on-year, but revenue dropped by nearly 17% due to international price declines [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - Price pressures on rice are expected to persist until early 2026, continuing to affect producers' profitability and export strategies of Latin American countries [1]