Core Viewpoint - The report highlights Jiangnan Buyi as a leading designer brand in China, showcasing strong performance metrics such as high dividend yield and return on equity (ROE), while emphasizing the company's resilience in a mature market phase [1][3]. Group 1: Company Overview - Jiangnan Buyi is positioned as a domestic designer brand leader with a mid-to-high-end product range, featuring a multi-brand strategy that caters to diverse customer needs [1]. - The company has a highly educated management team and a concentrated family ownership structure, maintaining a stable dividend payout ratio of over 70% in recent years [1][2]. - The company's PE valuation has undergone two rounds of downward adjustments, recently stabilizing around 10X, indicating a potential undervaluation due to market misconceptions about its performance resilience and high ROE sustainability [1]. Group 2: Performance Resilience - Jiangnan Buyi's resilience is attributed to three key competitive advantages: design capability, fan economy, and multi-brand strategy [1]. - The design strength combines artistic creativity with commercial viability, enhancing product appeal and aligning with market trends [1]. - The fan economy leverages a comprehensive retail model to engage customers, utilizing refined membership services and digital upgrades to drive retail conversion [1]. - The multi-brand approach allows for balanced brand development and risk mitigation, with a diverse product range that enhances growth potential [1]. Group 3: High ROE Sustainability - The company's high ROE reflects strong operational capabilities and competitive advantages, supported by a DuPont analysis [2]. - High inventory turnover is achieved through a national inventory sharing system and a unique payment model with distributors, leading to faster cash recovery [2]. - The company maintains a relatively high gross margin due to brand premium and ongoing supply chain improvements, while effective cost management enhances profitability [2]. - A high equity multiplier is noted, with significant operating liabilities and a strong dividend policy reinforcing leverage effects [2]. Group 4: Future Projections - Forecasts for Jiangnan Buyi's net profit for FY2026-FY2028 are projected at 920 million, 960 million, and 990 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 9X [3]. - Assuming a 75% dividend payout ratio, the expected dividend yield for FY2026 is estimated to reach 8%, highlighting the company's combination of high dividends and growth potential [3].
江南布衣(3306.HK)：布道匠心 衣路深耕