电子化学品：半导体破局关键，国产替代正迎黄金期！

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese electronic chemical industry is poised for explosive growth, driven by increasing demand in the semiconductor sector, particularly in advanced manufacturing processes and supported by government policies aimed at enhancing domestic production capabilities [1][2][9]. Group 1: Market Growth and Demand - The global semiconductor market is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with China's semiconductor market projected to reach approximately $113.5 billion in the first half of 2025, reflecting an 11.1% year-on-year increase [2]. - The global semiconductor materials market is forecasted to reach $70 billion in 2025, with a 6% year-on-year growth, while China's key electronic materials market is anticipated to hit 174.08 billion yuan, growing by 21.1% [2][4]. - The expansion of wafer manufacturing capacity, particularly in advanced processes (7nm and below), is expected to create significant demand for electronic chemicals, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14% from 2024 to 2028 [4]. Group 2: Key Segments and Opportunities - The electronic chemicals sector is categorized into three main segments: photoresists, wet electronic chemicals, and electronic specialty gases, each with unique technological barriers and domestic substitution potential [5]. - The photoresist market is projected to reach 6.802 billion yuan in 2025, with a modest growth rate of 4.49%, indicating significant potential for domestic alternatives due to historical foreign monopolies [5]. - Wet electronic chemicals are expected to see a total demand of 468,500 tons in 2025, with a notable 23.1% year-on-year growth in the integrated circuit application segment [6]. Group 3: Business Model and Stability - Electronic chemicals are characterized by a stable and sustainable business model compared to semiconductor equipment, as they are consumed regularly and require continuous replenishment, leading to consistent demand [8]. - Leading companies in the electronic chemicals sector, such as Anji Technology and Shanghai Xinyang, are projected to see revenue growth of 43.17% and 35.67% respectively in the first half of 2025, with net profit growth rates significantly exceeding revenue growth [8]. Group 4: Policy and Technological Drivers - The rapid development of China's electronic chemicals is supported by government policies that focus on enhancing high-end supply and promoting innovation in key products [9][10]. - The industry is expected to witness multiple breakthroughs in domestic production capabilities by 2026-2027, narrowing the gap with international leaders [9]. Group 5: Future Trends and Investment Opportunities - The electronic chemicals market is expected to evolve towards higher purity, functionality, and sustainability, aligning with global trends and regulatory requirements [10]. - Companies that have achieved breakthroughs in high-end fields, maintain ongoing R&D investments, and have forward-looking capacity layouts are positioned as key beneficiaries of the industry's growth [11].