帮主郑重:节前最后两个交易日,看懂这几点再操作!
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-28 13:09

Group 1: Market Overview - The central bank emphasizes maintaining liquidity and stabilizing the capital market, indicating a supportive stance to prevent significant market fluctuations before the holiday [3] - Industrial profits turned positive in August, suggesting a recovery in the real economy, which provides fundamental support [3] - Recent adjustments in the US market and potential government shutdown risks are noted, although they may not directly impact the A-share market before the holiday [3] Group 2: Technical Analysis and Fund Flow - The Shanghai Composite Index is fluctuating between the 60-day line at 3800 points and a gap at 3900 points, with trading volume decreasing from over 1 trillion to around 900 billion, indicating a pause in capital flow [3] - There is a shift in fund flow, with previously high-performing tech stocks seeing profit-taking, while defensive sectors like banks and utilities are attracting investment [3] - Investors are also considering short-term government bond reverse repos, which offer annualized returns above 3%, as a safer investment option [3] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Strategy - Market sentiment is characterized by cautious optimism, with investors hesitant to make significant moves due to potential uncertainties before the holiday [4] - Historical data shows that the Shanghai Composite Index typically experiences minimal fluctuations in the last two trading days before the holiday, averaging a change of only 0.1% [4] - Recommended strategies include reducing positions in high-flying tech stocks, focusing on defensive sectors, and considering short-term government bond investments for risk-free returns [4][5]