Will Tesla Stock Pop or Drop in 2026?

Group 1 - Tesla shares experienced significant volatility, initially dropping nearly 40% but currently up 13% year-to-date [1] - The potential for robotaxis is a major focus, with some experts predicting it could create $1 trillion in value for Tesla by 2026 [2] - Major investor Cathie Wood estimates the global robotaxi market could be worth $5 trillion to $10 trillion, predicting it will account for 90% of Tesla's value by 2030 [3] Group 2 - The market is optimistic about Tesla's robotaxi ambitions, contributing to its premium valuation compared to competitors like Rivian and Lucid Group [4] - Tesla's robotaxi service is currently limited to Austin, Texas, and has not yet expanded, with regulatory approvals pending for further launches [4] - The existing robotaxi service still requires human oversight, and there are inconsistencies in statements regarding the launch of fully autonomous vehicles in other regions [5]