轮动的节奏，等待破局！

Market Overview - The market continued to show a shrinking volume with a downward trend, closing at 3828.11 points and a transaction volume of 21,469 billion [1] - Foreign capital transactions amounted to 2,789 billion, with strong performances in sectors like wind power and agricultural products, while consumer electronics and technology hardware lagged [1] Market Sentiment and Trends - The market is expected to maintain a fluctuating rhythm leading up to and following the holiday, with a clear upward direction anticipated in the future [3] - The market has been in a consolidation phase for 24 days, and a breakout above the upper trend line is necessary to escape this phase [3] - Key support levels are identified at 3,800 points and the 60-day moving average, with a low probability of dropping below 3,700 points [3] Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to remain calm and avoid impulsive trading decisions, focusing on long-term strategies rather than short-term gains [4] - The emphasis is on identifying and investing in technology sectors and extending industrial chains, with a recommendation for low-cost acquisitions during adjustments [4] Historical Performance Analysis - Historical data shows mixed performance for the Shanghai Composite Index around the National Day holiday, with varying trends in the days leading up to and following the holiday [5] - The probability of an increase in the index is noted to be 30% for the five days before the holiday and 70% for the day after [5]