专论 || 张永伟：从出口“新三样”到聚合“三大件”

Group 1 - The core idea of the article emphasizes the importance of "aggregated thinking" in driving the collaborative development of three key sectors: smart vehicles, smart robots, and low-altitude economy, which are interconnected through technology, supply chains, and application fields [1][3][4] - The article outlines that the current fourth industrial revolution is characterized by the convergence of various technologies, such as artificial intelligence and new energy, which were previously developed independently [1][2] - The potential of the "three key components" (smart vehicles, power batteries, and new energy represented by photovoltaics) is highlighted as a significant driver for export and economic growth, especially in the post-pandemic context [3][4] Group 2 - The shared industrial chain among smart vehicles, smart robots, and low-altitude flying is crucial for the aggregation effect, with over 60% of the automotive supply chain being applicable to these sectors [4][5] - The article discusses the rapid development of the perception field, where costs have significantly decreased, exemplified by the price drop of automotive laser radar from over 100,000 yuan to around 800 yuan within five years [5][6] - The demand for computing power in vehicles has increased, with modern cars requiring 300 to 400 chips, indicating a trend towards a unified operating system across vehicles, robots, and drones [6][7] Group 3 - The article suggests that the manufacturing sector must establish advantages quickly, drawing parallels with the electric vehicle industry, which saw a dramatic increase in sales from 1 million to 10 million units in five years due to a 50% reduction in component costs [9][10] - It is anticipated that the robotics sector may experience a similar "electric vehicle moment" in the near future, with prices potentially dropping from over 1 million yuan to 100,000 or 200,000 yuan [10][11] - The article emphasizes the need for component manufacturers to expand into the aggregation field, leveraging existing supply chains and fostering cross-industry collaborations to accelerate market entry [11][12] Group 4 - The internationalization of the autonomous and automated driving industry is highlighted, with increasing global demand for Chinese components and solutions, particularly in the robotics sector [12] - The article calls for a shift in thinking from single-industry development to a coordinated approach that breaks down barriers between industries, technologies, and policies [12][13] - It stresses the importance of infrastructure integration and policy adaptation to support the rapid development of industries like autonomous driving, low-altitude economy, and smart robotics [12][13]