为什么印度会犯战略上的愚蠢之举，寄希望于美国的支持？

Core Viewpoint - The relationship between India and the United States has been deteriorating since May, initially due to diplomatic disagreements, which have escalated into tariffs and harsh rhetoric from U.S. leaders towards India [1][2]. Group 1: Diplomatic Relations - India is struggling to understand the U.S. government's actions against it, especially given the previously strong ties between Modi and Trump during Trump's first term [2][5]. - In response to U.S. tariffs, India has sought to improve relations with China, highlighted by Modi's attendance at the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit in Tianjin, marking his first visit to China since 2018 [2][4]. - Modi's visit to China was strategically balanced with a prior visit to Japan to mitigate sensitivity, and he notably did not attend a significant event in Beijing [5]. Group 2: Strategic Positioning - India has been cautious in its engagement with Russia and China, avoiding a three-way meeting proposed by Moscow to prevent being labeled as "anti-American" [7]. - Despite efforts to strengthen ties with U.S. allies and push for a renewed focus on the Indo-Pacific strategy, these actions may further irritate the Trump administration [7][8]. - The Modi government has overestimated the potential for U.S.-India strategic cooperation, as the U.S. is wary of allowing another Asian power to rise significantly [8][9]. Group 3: Economic and Military Considerations - The recent military conflict with Pakistan has highlighted India's limitations in exerting force, raising concerns about its ability to manage relations with neighboring China [10]. - The U.S. is perceived to be seeking allies capable of effectively countering China, but India lacks both the capability and willingness to take a leading role in this regard [9]. Group 4: Historical Context - The U.S. has shown reluctance to fully embrace India as an ally, partly due to the economic disparities and the burden of responsibility that such a partnership would entail [12][13].