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ATFX汇市前瞻:美国9月大非农来袭,澳洲联储议息料不变,欧元区CPI数据发布
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-29 10:33

Economic Data Releases - The upcoming economic data releases are ranked by importance: US September Non-Farm Payroll Report, Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rate decision, and Eurozone September CPI year-on-year [1] US Non-Farm Payroll Report - The US Non-Farm Payroll Report will be released on Friday at 20:30, with a previous value of 22,000 jobs and an expected value of 50,000 jobs, indicating optimistic expectations [3] - Historical data shows that a Non-Farm Payroll figure above 200,000 will boost the US dollar index, while figures between 100,000 and 200,000 have a weaker effect [3] - If the Non-Farm Payroll falls below 100,000, it typically results in a negative impact on the US dollar index, regardless of whether the latest figure exceeds previous expectations [3] - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve at the end of October is currently at 89.3%, primarily due to a weak US labor market [3] Reserve Bank of Australia - The Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 3.6% during its decision on Tuesday at 12:30 [4] - The RBA has cut rates three times this year, totaling 75 basis points, with the last cut occurring in August [4] - Australia's second-quarter GDP growth rate was 1.8%, and the unemployment rate is currently at 4.2%, indicating a stable economic environment that supports the decision to keep rates unchanged [4] Eurozone CPI - The Eurozone's September CPI year-on-year initial value will be released on Wednesday at 17:00, with a previous value of 2.0% and an expected value of 2.3% [6] - CPI data is crucial for assessing inflation levels in the Eurozone and is a key factor for the European Central Bank's monetary policy adjustments [6] - If the CPI data shows a significant decline, the likelihood of the ECB restarting rate cuts may increase, potentially impacting the euro's value [6]