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提前博弈10月行情,三条主线成资金共识!
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-29 11:30

Market Overview - A-shares and Hong Kong stocks showed strong performance, driven by the financial sector and the renewable energy industry, reflecting a dual drive of growth and value, with policy benefits leading market sentiment [1] - The A-share ChiNext Index and Hong Kong Hang Seng Technology Index recorded significant gains of 2.74% and 2.08%, respectively, indicating active capital positioning ahead of the fourth quarter [1][2] - The market is expected to continue its upward trend before the National Day holiday, but profit-taking pressure may arise [1] Major Index Performance - A-share market saw a comprehensive rise in growth style, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing up 0.9% at 3862.53 points, and the Shenzhen Component Index rising 2.05% to 13479.43 points [2] - The total number of rising stocks reached 3576, while 1658 stocks declined, indicating a strong market breadth [2] - In the Hong Kong market, the Hang Seng Index rose 1.89% to 26622.88 points, with significant contributions from financial and technology sectors [2] Industry Highlights and Driving Logic - Non-bank financial sector surged, particularly brokerage stocks, stimulated by central bank policies [3] - The renewable energy sector, especially lithium battery electrolyte, saw a significant increase of 7.69%, driven by technological breakthroughs and government support [3] - Precious metals also experienced a notable rise, with international gold prices surpassing $3810 per ounce, marking a historical high [3] Underperforming Sectors and Driving Logic - Traditional defensive sectors in the A-share market, such as coal and education, showed weak performance due to valuation pressures and policy uncertainties [4] - In the Hong Kong market, defensive sectors like telecommunications and water utilities faced declines, reflecting a shift in capital towards growth stocks [4] Investment Strategy Recommendations - The market is currently in a critical window of policy and industry catalysts, with short-term policy benefits and liquidity expectations supporting risk appetite [5] - Short-term focus should be on non-bank financials, renewable energy sectors, and cyclical commodities like copper and gold, which are expected to maintain strength [6] - Long-term investment strategies should align with the "14th Five-Year Plan," emphasizing green transformation, technological innovation, and national security [6]