波兰关闭通道，中欧班列“停摆”13天，中国商人“极限操作”

Core Viewpoint - The reopening of the "Yiwu-Madrid" China-Europe Railway Express at the Polish-Belarusian border marks a significant recovery for international logistics after a 13-day closure due to geopolitical tensions, impacting numerous freight operations and highlighting the importance of this route for cross-border trade [2][12][29]. Group 1: Impact of Border Closure - Approximately 350 China-Europe trains were stranded at the border during the 13-day closure, with an estimated recovery time of three to four weeks for normal operations to resume [3][12]. - The closure of the Polish-Belarusian border was a significant disruption, as around 90% of China-Europe trains transit through Poland, making it a critical hub for logistics [12][27]. - The closure led to increased pressure on supply chains, with many businesses facing inventory shortages and potential disruptions in their operations [12][15]. Group 2: Alternative Solutions - Companies have begun to explore alternative transportation methods, including air and sea freight, to mitigate the impact of the border closure [16][21]. - Air freight is significantly more expensive, costing about three times more than rail, while sea freight is cheaper but takes longer, with delivery times extending by 20 to 30 days compared to rail [23]. - Logistics firms are advising clients to adapt their shipping strategies, utilizing air or sea options for urgent shipments while awaiting the resumption of rail services [17][21]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Despite the recent disruptions, there is confidence in the continued viability of the Poland route for logistics, as it remains economically advantageous and efficient compared to alternative routes [26][29]. - The development of new shipping routes, such as the Arctic shipping line, which significantly reduces transit times to Europe, is being closely monitored by logistics companies [30][31]. - The overall impact of the border closure on the broader logistics industry appears limited, with many businesses in the cross-border trade sector demonstrating resilience and adaptability [28][29].