HMT(SH:603306) Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang·2025-09-29 13:28Core Viewpoint - Huamao Technology plans to acquire 57.84% of Fuchuang Youyue for 1.504 billion yuan, aiming for full control of the high-growth computing power company, with a projected average P/E ratio of 7.3 times based on performance commitments, indicating a strategic value investment in the context of rising valuations in the computing power sector [1] Group 1: High-Growth Sector - Fuchuang Youyue operates in the rapidly growing optical module sector, with a projected global market size growth of 22% CAGR from 2024 to 2029, potentially exceeding $37 billion by 2029, driven by AI computing power demand [2] - The market for high-speed copper cable connectors in China is expected to reach 8.759 billion yuan in 2024 and surpass 10 billion yuan in 2025, with projections of over 20 billion yuan by 2028, indicating significant market potential [2] - Fuchuang Youyue has established itself in both high-growth areas, supplying high-reliability components such as optical module PCBA and high-speed copper cable connectors, with 800G product revenue accounting for 40.87% in early 2025 [2] Group 2: Strategic Acquisition - The acquisition allows Huamao Technology to enter the AI computing power sector, optimizing and upgrading its business structure, with Fuchuang Youyue's projected net profit of 1.29 billion yuan in 2024 exceeding 50% of Huamao's net profit for the same year [3] - Fuchuang Youyue's commitment to a net profit of 2 billion yuan in 2025 indicates a significant contribution to Huamao's overall profitability, effectively creating a second Huamao Technology through this acquisition [3] - The projected compound annual growth rate of Fuchuang Youyue's net profit commitments exceeds 28%, highlighting the growth potential and favorable timing of the acquisition [3] Group 3: Valuation Analysis - The valuation of Fuchuang Youyue increased from 950 million yuan to 2.6 billion yuan, supported by a substantial profit increase from 2.4 million yuan in 2023 to 1.29 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a 433.63% growth [4] - The acquisition includes clear performance commitments, with net profits of no less than 2 billion yuan, 2.5 billion yuan, and 3.3 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, totaling at least 7.8 billion yuan, resulting in an average P/E ratio of 10 times [4] - Considering the total payment of 1.899 billion yuan for 100% equity, the effective P/E ratio drops to 7.3 times, significantly lower than the average valuation in the A-share optical module sector [4] Group 4: Risk Management - The transaction emphasizes risk control through performance commitments, providing a foundational guarantee for investment returns, with 68% of the transaction value paid via share issuance at a price of 29.80 yuan per share [4] - The core team of Fuchuang Youyue will remain as shareholders of Huamao Technology, ensuring alignment of interests, with a share lock-up period of at least 12 months to prevent short-term speculative behavior [5]