Earnings Preview: Constellation Brands (STZ) Q2 Earnings Expected to Decline

Core Viewpoint - Constellation Brands (STZ) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings and revenues for the quarter ended August 2025, which could significantly influence its stock price depending on the actual results compared to estimates [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to show earnings of $3.37 per share, reflecting a 22% decrease year-over-year, with revenues projected at $2.46 billion, down 15.8% from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 6.46% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate matches the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0%, suggesting no recent differing analyst views [12]. - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 5, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [12][13]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Constellation Brands was expected to post earnings of $3.34 per share but delivered only $3.22, resulting in a surprise of -3.59% [14]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates twice [15]. Market Reaction Factors - An earnings beat or miss alone may not dictate stock movement, as other factors can influence investor sentiment [16]. - While betting on stocks expected to beat earnings can increase success odds, Constellation Brands does not currently appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat [18].