Nvidia(US:NVDA) Di Yi Cai Jing·2025-09-29 15:37Core Viewpoint - The U.S. stock market has shown resilience, with the S&P 500 index achieving a return of +2.3% in September, significantly above the historical average of -0.6%, driven by the AI wave and positive market sentiment [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance and Predictions - The S&P 500 index is projected to reach levels above 7000 points, with Goldman Sachs raising its return forecasts for the next 3, 6, and 12 months to +2%, +5%, and +8%, corresponding to index levels of approximately 6800, 7000, and 7200 points [1][2]. - Morgan Stanley maintains a more conservative target of 6500 points but acknowledges the increasing likelihood of a bullish scenario reaching 7200 points [1][2]. Group 2: Earnings Growth and Market Dynamics - Earnings growth remains a key support for the bull market, with 54% of the S&P 500's year-to-date increase attributed to earnings growth, 38% to valuation expansion, and 8% to dividends [3]. - The actual yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries has decreased from 2.23% to 1.75%, supporting stock market valuations [3]. Group 3: AI Industry as a Driving Force - The AI industry is identified as the core driver of the current bull market, with its extensive ecosystem expected to sustain upward momentum in the overall index [4][5]. - Recent strategic partnerships, such as NVIDIA's collaboration with OpenAI, have significantly boosted market sentiment and stock prices, with OpenAI's valuation soaring to $500 billion from $15 billion two years ago [5][6]. Group 4: Investment Sentiment and Strategies - Market participants express a cautious optimism regarding the AI sector, noting that while many AI stocks appear overvalued in the short term, the fundamental backdrop remains attractive due to relatively cheap capital and the Federal Reserve's easing stance [6][7]. - Experienced traders are advised to wait for potential market corrections before entering positions, contrasting with less experienced traders who may chase high prices [7].