NH INTELLIGENT(SZ:000816) Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-09-30 01:29Core Insights - The report emphasizes that smart agricultural equipment is a key lever for ensuring food security, aligning with the "storing grain in the ground and technology" strategy, and that the "machine substitution" trend is at a critical opportunity phase [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Opportunities - Smart agricultural equipment is identified as a core tool for food security, with the 2025 Central Document No. 1 listing "smart agricultural machinery and smart agriculture" as part of "new agricultural productivity" [2]. - The core sectors include smart tractors and harvesters, which have significant room for technological upgrades, while agricultural drones align with China's unique agricultural characteristics [2]. - The scale of China's agricultural machinery and agricultural drones is projected to be approximately 300 billion and 29 billion yuan in 2024, respectively [2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The trend of "machine substitution" is driven by rural labor reduction, rising costs, and decreasing equipment costs, marking an industrialization inflection point [2]. - The mechanization rate in the "management" segment of farming is the lowest, with estimates suggesting that agricultural drones could save over 100 billion yuan annually in pesticide costs [2]. - The penetration rates for large horsepower, power-shifting, and smart tractors in 2024 are projected to be 10.7%, 3.7%, and 3.8%, respectively [2]. Group 3: Policy Support - Policies are increasingly favoring high-quality machinery, with agricultural machinery purchase subsidies expected to rebound to a historical high of 24.6 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 10% from 2020 to 2024 [2]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The industry is characterized by high technical barriers, deep service moats, and strong ecological stickiness, with the CR3 for agricultural drones, smart agricultural machinery, and agricultural machinery being 88%, 71%, and 48% respectively in 2024 [3].