特朗普大概没料到，中方态度如此强硬，4个月不买一颗美国大豆

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant impact of China's refusal to purchase U.S. soybeans, which has led to economic distress for American farmers and potential political repercussions for the Trump administration [1][3]. Economic Impact - Since May, China has ceased importing U.S. soybeans, opting instead to source from South America, resulting in a surplus of soybeans in the U.S. and a continuous drop in prices [1]. - The Purdue University report indicates that the number of bankruptcies among small farms and fisheries in the U.S. is expected to reach the highest level since 2020 by mid-2025 [3]. - The U.S. Department of Agriculture forecasts that agricultural debt will soar to $561.8 billion this year, placing immense financial pressure on farmers [3]. Political Consequences - The refusal to buy U.S. soybeans has broader implications for the political landscape, particularly affecting key states that are crucial for Trump's support, such as Iowa and Illinois [3][5]. - Discontent among farmers is rising, with agricultural lobbying groups that previously supported Trump now publicly criticizing the administration's tariff policies as the root cause of their struggles [5][6]. Government Response - In response to the growing unrest among farmers, the Trump administration has not altered its strategy towards China but is considering using tariff revenues to subsidize agriculture, claiming it is a temporary measure that will ultimately benefit farmers [7]. - Despite optimistic statements from the Agriculture Secretary about future improvements, the current situation of unsold soybeans and increasing bankruptcies suggests that the administration's approach may not effectively alleviate farmer grievances [7]. Trade Dynamics - Unlike the initial stages of the trade war in 2018, China has prepared for U.S. pressure and has effectively retaliated, demonstrating that unilateral pressure cannot resolve trade issues and that cooperation and dialogue are necessary [8][10].