Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Trump's recent tariff increases, effective from October 1, 2025, are expected to have widespread negative impacts on both the U.S. economy and global trade dynamics, with no clear winners in a trade war [1][3][14] - The tariffs cover a wide range of products, including a 50% increase on kitchen cabinets and bathroom sinks, 30% on furniture, 100% on patented drugs, and 25% on heavy trucks, indicating a comprehensive approach to trade protectionism [7][9] - The tariffs are framed under the guise of "national security," but the underlying motive appears to be to protect U.S. manufacturers and appeal to domestic voters, despite the potential for significant economic backlash [7][9][12] Group 2 - The tariffs are projected to lead to a decline in U.S. GDP by 0.5% annually in 2025 and 2026, with a long-term decrease of 0.4%, as the costs are likely to be passed on to consumers [7][9] - The average tariff rate in the U.S. is expected to rise to 17.3%, the highest since 1935, which will result in increased consumer prices and exacerbate inflation [9][11] - The tariffs could lead to a loss of approximately 497,000 jobs by the end of 2025, with specific sectors like construction and agriculture facing declines [9][12] Group 3 - The global trade system is at risk of collapse due to the U.S. violating WTO principles with these tariffs, which could further alienate allies like the EU and Canada [11][12] - Historical parallels are drawn to the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of the 1930s, which contributed to the Great Depression, suggesting that Trump's actions may lead to similar economic consequences [12][14] - The article emphasizes that trade wars do not produce winners, and the ultimate victims will be consumers and the broader economy, highlighting the need for dialogue and cooperation among nations [14]
加税！加税！特朗普关税核弹引爆全球：中欧印三国沦陷，美国经济却先血流成河！
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-30 04:16