Hua Xia Shi Bao·2025-09-30 09:59Core Viewpoint - The recent adjustments in USD deposit rates by banks are a direct response to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, indicating a downward trend in USD deposit rates across the market [2][4][9]. Group 1: USD Deposit Rate Adjustments - Many banks have begun to lower their USD deposit rates, with several products transitioning from the "4" range to the "3" range this year [3][4]. - For instance, Xi'an Bank has reduced its USD deposit rates across various terms, with the 1-month and 3-month rates dropping by 0.4% and 0.5% respectively [5][4]. - Nanjing Bank has also adjusted its rates for its "Xin Hui Tian" product, with rates for 3-month, 6-month, and 1-year deposits decreasing from 3.5%, 3.7%, and 3.8% to 3.3%, 3.4%, and 3.55% [6][4]. Group 2: Future Rate Expectations - Analysts predict that USD deposit rates may continue to decline, potentially entering the "2" range, with expectations of rates settling between 2.5% and 2.8% in the near future [8][10]. - Goldman Sachs Asset Management anticipates further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in October and December, which could influence domestic USD deposit rates downward [9][10]. - The overall sentiment in the industry suggests that the current 3% rate may be a temporary high point, with a strong likelihood of further reductions [9][10]. Group 3: Market Reactions and Investor Behavior - Despite the declining rates, some investors still prefer USD deposits, viewing them as more favorable compared to regular RMB deposits [11]. - Experts advise caution for inexperienced investors, emphasizing the need to assess both yield and currency risk when considering USD deposits [11][12]. - The market is seeing a shift where banks are adjusting their strategies based on the changing interest rate environment, with some banks maintaining higher rates to attract deposits while others lower rates to manage costs [7][12].