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外资砸 450 亿!大金融跌惨科技猛涨!中国科技史迎来罕见一幕
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-30 10:22

Core Viewpoint - The current decline in deposit rates and real estate investment returns has led to an "asset shortage," prompting residents to seek high-yield investment products. Investors must navigate risks in a declining index environment, with varying risk preferences influencing their strategies [1][5]. Investment Strategies - Risk-averse investors should focus on optimizing their stock portfolios to reduce overall risk, emphasizing the selection of hedging assets [1][3]. - Concentrating investments in technology stocks or small-cap stocks can significantly increase portfolio risk, necessitating a clear strategy for risk hedging [3]. Market Dynamics - The A-share market has shown strong vitality, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a peak of 3892 points, supported by ample liquidity from residents moving their deposits and expectations of loose monetary policy [7][9]. - The market is entering a "structural slow bull" phase characterized by wide fluctuations and gradual upward trends, with major indices showing impressive year-to-date performance [7][9]. Economic Indicators - The resilience of the macroeconomic environment is providing solid support for the market, with GDP growth in the first half of 2025 projected at 5.3%, surpassing initial targets [19]. - The ongoing economic recovery is seen as a reliable anchor for the stock market, with significant policy measures aimed at stabilizing the market and enhancing liquidity [19][21]. Policy Environment - The expectation of a Federal Reserve rate cut exceeding 90% is anticipated to alleviate pressure on the RMB exchange rate and create more room for domestic monetary policy [11]. - Continuous policy efforts to stimulate consumption and stabilize the real estate market are evident, with a focus on expanding domestic demand [11][19]. Investment Opportunities - The current market environment presents opportunities for long-term investment in companies with core competitiveness, particularly in the AI hardware sector [15]. - The total dividend payout of A-share companies is projected to reach 2.4 trillion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9%, which is attractive compared to declining U.S. Treasury yields [23]. Market Sentiment - The slow bull market is characterized by a shift from short-term speculation to value investing, indicating a maturation of the Chinese capital market [25]. - The combination of internal and external capital flows is creating a favorable environment for sustained market growth, reinforcing the importance of a robust market ecosystem [21][25].