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央行出手,1.1万亿买断式逆回购来了
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao·2025-09-30 13:05

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is set to conduct a 1.1 trillion yuan reverse repurchase operation on October 9, 2025, to maintain liquidity in the banking system, with a term of 3 months [1] Group 1: Reverse Repo Operations - In October, 800 billion yuan of 3-month reverse repos and 500 billion yuan of 6-month reverse repos are set to mature [3] - After the 1.1 trillion yuan operation on October 9, there will be a net injection of 300 billion yuan in 3-month reverse repos [3] - The PBOC is expected to continue injecting medium-term liquidity through reverse repos for the fifth consecutive month [3] Group 2: Market Conditions and Government Actions - The government is expected to issue a significant amount of bonds in October, and the National Development and Reform Commission has announced plans to accelerate the issuance of 500 billion yuan in new policy financial instruments [4] - The strong performance of the stock market and the seasonal "migration" of household deposits are anticipated to tighten liquidity [4] - The PBOC's actions aim to stabilize liquidity and support government bond issuance while encouraging financial institutions to increase credit [4] Group 3: Future Expectations - Analysts predict that the PBOC will likely continue to use reverse repos and Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) tools to inject liquidity into the market [5] - There is a possibility of a new round of reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts in the fourth quarter, which may lead to a reduction in the scale of medium-term liquidity injections [5] - The overall monetary policy stance is expected to remain supportive, with a focus on fiscal strength and monetary easing [5]