贺博生：9.30黄金高位回落后市还会涨吗？原油晚间行情最新操作建议

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The recent surge in gold prices is attributed to expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, with a significant increase in the probability of rate cuts for October and December reaching 89.3% [2] - Gold prices broke the $3800 per ounce barrier, closing at $3833.73 on September 29, marking a 1.9% increase, the largest single-day gain since August 1 [1] - The combination of monetary policy expectations, political risks, and geopolitical conflicts has catalyzed the recent rise in gold prices, reinforcing its status as a safe-haven asset [1][2] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Gold - The current bullish trend in gold is supported by the Federal Reserve entering a rate-cutting cycle, although short-term adjustments may still be necessary [3] - Key support levels for gold are identified between $3790 and $3800, with resistance levels around $3860 [5] - The analysis suggests a strategy of selling on rebounds and buying on dips, with a focus on the $3840-$3850 resistance and $3800-$3790 support levels [5] Group 3: Oil Market Analysis - Brent crude oil prices fell to $67.50 per barrel, with WTI crude also declining to $63.05 per barrel, following a significant drop of over 3% on the previous trading day [6] - The decline in oil prices is primarily driven by changing supply expectations, particularly with OPEC+ likely to approve an increase in production [6] - Concerns over potential oversupply are overshadowing geopolitical risks, indicating a bearish sentiment in the oil market [6] Group 4: Technical Analysis of Oil - The oil market is currently in a consolidation phase, with price fluctuations expected to remain within the $66.00 to $60.80 range [7] - Short-term trends indicate a downward movement, with significant resistance at $64.0-$65.0 and support at $61.5-$60.5 [7]