17小时后 美国政府要关门了？

Core Points - The U.S. government is on the brink of a shutdown due to failed negotiations between the two parties regarding funding, causing market anxiety and pushing gold prices above $3,800 per ounce [1][2] - The existing federal funding will run out on Wednesday, leading to potential furloughs for hundreds of thousands of federal employees and disruptions in public services if no agreement is reached [2][4] - The political deadlock is exacerbated by strong partisan positions, with both parties blaming each other for the impasse [5][6] Funding Negotiations - Key discussions involving President Trump and congressional leaders failed to yield any agreement, with Republicans proposing a "Continuing Resolution" to extend current funding levels until November 21, which Democrats rejected unless it included healthcare subsidy extensions [5][6] - The Republican majority in the Senate (53 to 47) requires at least 60 votes to pass any funding bill, necessitating support from at least seven Democratic senators [6] Market Reactions - The political uncertainty and a weakening dollar have driven gold prices to surge, with a notable increase to $3,871 per ounce before settling around $3,800 [2][8] - Year-to-date, gold prices have risen by 45%, influenced by high government debt, persistent inflation, and doubts about the dollar's status as the primary reserve currency [9] Investment Trends - Institutional and central bank buying has contributed to the rise in gold prices, with significant inflows into gold ETFs and record net long positions by speculative investors [10] - The recent surge in gold prices is attributed to a "fear of missing out" (FOMO) among hedge funds, alongside central banks increasing their gold reserves as a hedge against dollar risks [10]