经合组织将全球经济增长预测上调至3%以上
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan·2025-09-30 17:00

Group 1 - OECD has raised its global economic growth forecast for this year to 3.2%, citing stronger resilience against global trade tensions than initially expected [1] - The growth forecast for 2026 remains unchanged at 2.9%, with tariffs expected to exacerbate the slowdown trend [1] - Strong investments in artificial intelligence in the US and public spending in China have contributed to economic growth [1] Group 2 - The effective tariff rate in the US rose to 19.5% in August, the highest level since 1993, posing significant risks to future economic outlook [2] - OECD has slightly raised the US economic growth forecast from 1.6% to 1.8% for this year, but warns of potential further slowdown due to tariff increases and high political uncertainty [2] - Rising food prices, geopolitical tensions pushing up energy prices, and companies passing on tariff costs to consumers may lead to increased inflation [2]