不仅仅是政治闹剧！这次美国政府关门冲击比想象中还要大

Group 1: Economic Impact of Government Shutdown - The current government shutdown may have a more significant economic impact than previous instances due to President Trump's threat of permanent layoffs for federal employees, which could affect the already precarious job market [1][3] - Economists estimate that the shutdown could reduce the U.S. GDP by approximately 0.1 percentage points per week, which is manageable for a $30 trillion economy, and short-term losses are typically recovered in subsequent quarters [2] - The shutdown could delay the release of key economic data, impacting the labor market and potentially leading to a more severe short-term effect on employment reports [3][4] Group 2: Labor Market Concerns - The labor market is already in a fragile state, particularly in Washington D.C., where federal employee layoffs have been advocated, exacerbating the situation [3] - The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will be closed during the shutdown, leading to potential delays in reporting and a decrease in data quality, which could affect economic decision-making [4] - The immediate impact on federal employees and contractors who are forced to take unpaid leave could severely affect their financial stability, even if the shutdown lasts only a week [5]